A contract asks: will BTC be above $105,000? If BTC already trades more than 3% above that price, yet Yes still costs 0.55, the contract may be lagging. Spot Price Anchor buys there, with one bid at the top of the book, and sells once Yes reaches 0.80, when BTC falls back under $105,000, or on the stop date you pick.
What it costs
This strategy is open on every plan. What it trades is fixed by its design, so every plan runs the same scope; Standard is free.
Recommended minimum vault: Elite · See all store pricing →
How it works
The strategy reads the platform's price for BTC/USDT across exchanges and compares it with the threshold price you type for the contract. When BTC trades at least your minimum gap above the threshold but the Yes side still costs no more than your highest buy price, it buys with one bid at the top of the book. It sells once the price reaches your catch-up level, when BTC falls back under the threshold, and from the stop date you pick, when it also stops buying. It skips prices under 0.15, which more often mean a wrong contract or threshold than a bargain.
Key Features
Strategy profile
A snapshot of how this strategy behaves and who it suits, not a forecast of returns.
These are our assessments of strategy character, not user-specific performance figures.
A cheap Yes is not always a lagging contract: the market may expect BTC to fall back before the contract's date, and it may be right. If BTC drops under the threshold, the strategy sells at a loss. You type the threshold yourself for each contract, and a wrong number makes every signal wrong, so type it again whenever you change the contract. A side that loses pays nothing, so keep the budget small.
All figures on this page are simulated or historical backtest results, shown for information and education only. They are not real customer results, they do not include your specific fees and slippage, and past performance does not guarantee future returns. Your capital is at risk.
Frequently Asked Questions
Quick glossary
Definitions for the trading terms used on this page.
- Backtest
- A simulation of how a strategy would have performed on historical price data. Past results never guarantee future returns - markets change.
- Slippage
- The difference between the price you expect and the price you actually get when an order fills. Worse on illiquid pairs and during fast markets.
- Spread
- The gap between the best buy price (bid) and the best sell price (ask). Tight spreads = liquid market, wider spreads = more cost per round trip.
- Stop-loss
- An automatic exit order that closes a losing position when price hits a chosen threshold. Caps how much one bad trade can hurt you.
- Take-profit
- An automatic exit order that closes a winning position once price reaches a chosen target. Locks in gains without relying on you to watch the chart.
- Volatility
- How sharply price moves. High volatility = bigger swings in both directions, which means more opportunity but also more drawdown risk.
Seen a contract lag the market?
Every new Prediction Spot Price Anchor starts in paper trading: its orders are kept on paper and never fill, and a paper run stops by itself one hour after each start.
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